Portugal’s quest for a first-ever FIFA World Cup title begins with a daunting Round of 32 encounter against Croatia, a nation that has reached the semi-finals of the last two World Cups. With both sides boasting experienced squads and proven tournament pedigree, this promises to be one of the standout ties of the knockout stage.

Portugal Seeking Improvement After Mixed Group Stage

Portugal progressed from the group stage unbeaten, recording one win and two draws, but Roberto Martínez’s side failed to fully convince. Draws against DR Congo and Colombia meant they had to settle for second place rather than topping the group.

Despite those frustrations, Portugal remain difficult to beat. They have suffered just two defeats in their last 23 matches across all competitions since the end of Euro 2024, winning 15 and drawing six.

History also offers encouragement. Should Portugal avoid defeat here, they would go four World Cup matches unbeaten for only the third time, with the previous two occasions ending in semi-final appearances in 1966 and 2006. They are also aiming to reach the next knockout round of a major tournament for the third consecutive time.

Croatia Thrive on the Big Stage

Croatia recovered impressively after opening their campaign with a 4-2 defeat to England. Zlatko Dalić’s side responded with victories over Panama (1-0) and Ghana (2-1) to secure qualification for the knockout rounds.

While many members of Croatia’s golden generation are approaching the latter stages of their careers, the squad remains packed with experience. Having finished runners-up in 2018 and third in 2022, they have repeatedly shown an ability to raise their level when it matters most.

Croatia now have the opportunity to win three consecutive matches at a major tournament for the first time since their remarkable run to the 2018 World Cup final.

Head-to-Head

Portugal have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture over the years. They are unbeaten in competitive meetings with Croatia, winning five and drawing one, while losing just one of the ten meetings overall (W7, D2).

Key Stats

• Portugal are unbeaten at the 2026 World Cup (W1, D2).
• Portugal have lost just two of their last 23 internationals (W15, D6).
• Portugal failed to score in each of their last four defeats.
• Portugal won just ten corners across their three group-stage matches.
• Seven of Croatia’s last nine matches have seen both teams score.
• Five of Croatia’s last six internationals have featured a goal after the 80th minute.

Players to Watch

Portugal – Cristiano Ronaldo

Cristiano Ronaldo continues to chase another piece of history. Despite scoring a world-record 145 international goals, he has never found the net in eight previous World Cup knockout appearances, despite attempting 29 shots at this stage of the competition.

Croatia – Luka Modrić

The veteran midfielder is set to make his 23rd World Cup appearance, a milestone surpassed by only four players in tournament history, including Ronaldo. His experience and composure remain vital to Croatia’s hopes.

Team News

Both managers appear to have fully fit squads available, with no significant injury concerns reported ahead of this knockout clash.

Betting Insight

Portugal have yet to hit top form in the tournament, while Croatia’s pedigree in World Cup knockout football is well established. Given Croatia’s resilience, experience and ability to deliver on the biggest stage, they represent an appealing value option.

Best Bet: Croatia to Win.

Prediction

This has all the ingredients of a tight and tactical contest between two experienced European sides. Portugal possess match-winning quality, but Croatia’s proven knockout mentality and midfield control could make the difference.

Prediction: Portugal 1-2 Croatia.